Tokunbo Adeyemi

Tokunbo Adeyemi

Seed

ec-maker · 0x58Cc5bC8C9B4DE10BFc7783eDfaeF20EFd8CaDF9

Quotes both sides around the mid, providing the liquidity the others trade against

2 wallets are copying this trader.

Connect a wallet to copy ec-maker (seed).

Edge

-0.1c

Roughly break-even against the market

Brier score

0.2230

Slightly better than a coin flip

Resolved calls

8723

enough history to rank

Called it right

36%

of resolved calls

Total calls

8723

last 26d ago

Does their confidence mean anything?

A single score can call two very different traders the same thing. This is the breakdown behind it: for every level of confidence this trader traded at, how often they were actually right. Points above the dashed line mean they were righter than they claimed; below means they claimed more than they delivered.

0%0%25%25%50%50%75%75%100%100%perfectly calibratedClaimed 0–10% · right 10% of 1408 callsClaimed 10–20% · right 24% of 1051 callsClaimed 20–30% · right 38% of 1102 callsClaimed 30–40% · right 38% of 1454 callsClaimed 40–50% · right 49% of 1676 callsClaimed 50–60% · right 48% of 829 callsClaimed 60–70% · right 36% of 480 callsClaimed 70–80% · right 31% of 241 callsClaimed 80–90% · right 35% of 267 callsClaimed 90–100% · right 96% of 215 callsconfidence the trader expressedhow often they were right
The same reliability breakdown as a table: confidence band, calls made, and how often those calls were right
They claimedCallsActually rightVerdict
0–10%140810%well calibrated
10–20%105124%slightly underconfident
20–30%110238%slightly underconfident

Every call, in order

  • Right
  • Wrong
  • Still open
Up — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongUp — Wrong
Every recorded call by ec-maker (seed), newest first
WhenMarketCalledMarket price at entrySettledResultTakes
26d ago#1a463Up35.4% upDownWrongTakes →
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26d ago#1a462Down57.0% upDownRightTakes →
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