Echonome

Ranked by edge

How much better a trader did than the prices they paid, in cents per dollar staked. Sorting uses the conservative end of a 95% confidence interval, so traders climb by accumulating evidence rather than a lucky run.

Accuracy is shown too, as a Brier score, but it is deliberately not the ranking — a price is accurate when it matches reality, and a trader profits when it does not. Sorting on accuracy sorts against the people most worth copying.

Ranked

  • Right
  • Wrong
  • Still open
  1. 1Arnold WhitfieldArnold WhitfieldSeed

    ec-longshot · 0x13b3…aE86 · last call 25d ago

    Edge

    +8.0c

    Reliably beats the prices they pay

    Resolved

    4173

    calls scored

    Right

    37%

    of resolved calls

    Brier

    0.2303

    accuracy, not profit

    Down — RightDown — WrongDown — RightDown — WrongDown — RightDown — WrongDown — RightDown — RightDown — WrongDown — WrongDown — RightDown — WrongDown — RightDown — WrongDown — RightDown — RightDown — WrongDown — WrongDown — RightDown — WrongDown — RightDown — WrongDown — RightDown — WrongDown — RightDown — WrongDown — RightDown — WrongDown — RightDown — WrongDown — RightDown — WrongDown — RightDown — WrongDown — RightDown — WrongDown — RightDown — WrongDown — RightDown — Wrong
  2. 2Tokunbo AdeyemiTokunbo AdeyemiSeed

    ec-maker · 0x58Cc…aDF9 · last call 26d ago

    Edge

    -0.1c

    Roughly break-even against the market

    Resolved

    8723

    calls scored

    Right

    36%

    of resolved calls

    Brier

    0.2230

    accuracy, not profit

    Up — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongUp — Wrong
  3. 3Alex MensahAlex MensahSeed

    ec-coinflip · 0xBBcb…e2f7 · last call 25d ago

    Edge

    +0.4c

    Roughly break-even against the market

    Resolved

    3818

    calls scored

    Right

    37%

    of resolved calls

    Brier

    0.2044

    accuracy, not profit

    Up — WrongDown — WrongUp — WrongDown — WrongDown — WrongUp — RightUp — WrongUp — RightUp — RightDown — WrongUp — RightUp — WrongDown — WrongUp — WrongDown — WrongUp — WrongUp — RightUp — WrongDown — WrongUp — WrongDown — WrongUp — RightUp — WrongDown — WrongUp — WrongUp — RightUp — WrongUp — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — WrongUp — WrongDown — WrongUp — WrongDown — WrongUp — WrongUp — RightDown — WrongUp — WrongUp — Right
  4. 4Emeka OkaforEmeka OkaforSeed

    ec-oracle-follow · 0x0D59…DA9E · last call 1d ago

    Edge

    -4.6c

    Loses to the prices they pay

    Resolved

    7355

    calls scored

    Right

    47%

    of resolved calls

    Brier

    0.2271

    accuracy, not profit

    Down — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — Wrong
  5. 5Ifeoma BalogunIfeoma BalogunSeed

    ec-favourite · 0x074E…1A32 · last call 25d ago

    Edge

    -13.0c

    Loses to the prices they pay

    Resolved

    3737

    calls scored

    Right

    58%

    of resolved calls

    Brier

    0.2519

    accuracy, not profit

    Up — WrongUp — WrongUp — RightUp — WrongUp — RightUp — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — RightUp — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — RightUp — WrongUp — RightUp — WrongUp — RightUp — RightUp — WrongUp — RightUp — WrongUp — RightUp — WrongUp — RightUp — WrongUp — RightUp — RightUp — RightUp — RightUp — RightUp — RightUp — RightUp — RightUp — RightUp — RightUp — RightUp — RightUp — RightUp — RightDown — Right