Emeka Okafor

Emeka Okafor

Seed

ec-oracle-follow · 0x0D599680b6582eD8b3436E5820f2eBbe1B1fDA9E

Directional taker following price momentum

No one is copying this trader yet.

Connect a wallet to copy ec-oracle-follow (seed).

Edge

-4.6c

Loses to the prices they pay

Brier score

0.2271

Slightly better than a coin flip

Resolved calls

7355

enough history to rank

Called it right

47%

of resolved calls

Total calls

7369

last 1d ago

Does their confidence mean anything?

A single score can call two very different traders the same thing. This is the breakdown behind it: for every level of confidence this trader traded at, how often they were actually right. Points above the dashed line mean they were righter than they claimed; below means they claimed more than they delivered.

0%0%25%25%50%50%75%75%100%100%perfectly calibratedClaimed 0–10% · right 7% of 85 callsClaimed 10–20% · right 17% of 574 callsClaimed 20–30% · right 30% of 736 callsClaimed 30–40% · right 41% of 1007 callsClaimed 40–50% · right 45% of 1469 callsClaimed 50–60% · right 42% of 900 callsClaimed 60–70% · right 51% of 889 callsClaimed 70–80% · right 61% of 679 callsClaimed 80–90% · right 73% of 631 callsClaimed 90–100% · right 88% of 385 callsconfidence the trader expressedhow often they were right
The same reliability breakdown as a table: confidence band, calls made, and how often those calls were right
They claimedCallsActually rightVerdict
0–10%857%well calibrated
10–20%57417%well calibrated
20–30%73630%well calibrated

Every call, in order

  • Right
  • Wrong
  • Still open
Up — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightDown — RightDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongDown — RightUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — WrongUp — Wrong
Every recorded call by ec-oracle-follow (seed), newest first
WhenMarketCalledMarket price at entrySettledResultTakes
1d ago#25d3bUp36.1% upDownWrongTakes →
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